Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.
708 markets · page 28 of 30
Yes ≈ 10% chance
Yes ≈ 48% chance
Yes ≈ 6% chance
Yes ≈ 66% chance
Non-HBO series are favored at 67% largely because 'The Pitt' on Max earned a leading 25 Emmy nominations, but the category's history of HBO dominance and the ambiguity of Max's brand keep the odds from being even higher.
Yes ≈ 67% chance
The market is betting that an algorithm will soon answer movie questions, but the supporting headlines are mostly about recommendation systems and general AI timelines, not about a specific question-answering breakthrough for movies.
Yes ≈ 68% chance
Yes ≈ 37% chance
Yes ≈ 29% chance
The market is skeptical of a Flashman film adaptation before 2035, reflecting a long history of failed attempts despite occasional Hollywood interest, as highlighted by a 2025 Telegraph article.
Yes ≈ 45% chance
Yes ≈ 23% chance
Yes ≈ 64% chance
Yes ≈ 45% chance
Yes ≈ 27% chance
Yes ≈ 33% chance
Yes ≈ 10% chance
The low odds reflect that despite critical acclaim for Giant Days and other works, John Allison's comics have never been optioned, and the five-year window to 2031 is short for a development process that typically takes years from announcement.
Yes ≈ 28% chance
Yes ≈ 34% chance
Yes ≈ 55% chance
Yes ≈ 40% chance
Yes ≈ 27% chance
Yes ≈ 3% chance
Yes ≈ 46% chance
Yes ≈ 33% chance
Yes ≈ 10% chance