Culture prediction markets
Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.
5,563 markets · page 222 of 232
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? — Taylor Swift
Yes ≈ 17% chance
Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.
5,563 markets · page 222 of 232
Yes ≈ 17% chance
Yes ≈ 13% chance
24 outcomes
Despite the market's near-certain No odds, the real story is that there is no recent headline evidence of 'petal' by Ariana Grande even being on the Billboard 200, let alone holding the #1 spot for six consecutive weeks; the market appears to be pricing in a complete lack of chart momentum or a competing cultural event that would sustain such a run.
Yes ≈ 1% chance