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Culture prediction markets & live odds — page 12 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Culture prediction markets

Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.

🔭 Compare culture odds across venues →

All Film & TV 473 Music 219 Awards 160 Celebrity 78 Years 14 Spider-Man 10 Billion 9 Person 5 Black Panther Casting 3 Candidate 1

5,568 markets · page 12 of 232

Manifold· Play

Open

How will Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce's marriage end?

Divorce67¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ5.2K Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Spider-Man: Brand New Day Rotten Tomatoes score? — Above 80

‹ Prev1…1011121314…232Next ›

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

$12K Vol▲ 0pts8d

Polymarket

Open

Will anyone say "President" during Rick and Morty E10 S9?

Yes4¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$341 Vol▼ 8pts10h

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the creators of Emesis Blue release their second TF2 film 'Murder Inc' by the end of 2026?

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ67 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

The Brink of War Rotten Tomatoes score? — Above 55

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

$1.9K Vol▲ 0pts22d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be any conjoined twin Oscar winners before 2040?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ315 Vol▲ 0pts13y

Kalshi

Open

Will Taylor Swift be #1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in July 2026?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$37.9K Vol▲ 0pts6d

Manifold· Play

Open

How many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get?

The field is heavily front-loaded, with near-certainty for 100+ traders but a toss-up on beating last year's count of 133, and the recent Spotify fraud scandal (WIRED, Jul 2) is the key event that has injected uncertainty into whether this market will attract as many participants as the 2025 edition.

70+100¢

10 outcomes

Ɱ57.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will another GTA VI trailer come out before Oct 2026? — Before October 2026

Yes85¢

No15¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

$22K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Scott Aaronson ever pay out any award for a discovery that dramatically weakens the possibility of scalable quantum computing?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ290 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will A*POP by Tyla have above 20000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026 tracking week? — Above 20K

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

$5.6K Vol▼ 1pts7d

Kalshi

Open

WIll GTA6 be released by Sep 30, 2026? — Before October 2026

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$83.6K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Michael Jordan cameo in The Coyote vs. ACME movie?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ249 Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$6.6K Vol▲ 4pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

$47.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Danny Devito play Wario in any official Nintendo movie before the end of 2029?

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

Ɱ2.3K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Lyric Medeiros

Yes44¢

No56¢

Yes ≈ 44% chance

$302 Vol▼ 5pts4d

Kalshi

Open

Will Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx have above 50000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026 tracking week? — Above 50K

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

$7.5K Vol▼ 13pts7d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the shelved Batgirl movie be released or otherwise leaked before 2028?

Yes35¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

Ɱ107 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series

Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus”81¢

5 outcomes

$9.5K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Ariana Grande have above 350000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026? — Above 350K

Yes49¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

$22K Vol▲ 7pts14d

Manifold· Play

Open

By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ602 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Ryan Reynolds appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?

Yes49¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

$685 Vol▲ 19pts10h

Kalshi

Open

Barrett Pfeiffer

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$2.5K Vol▲ 0pts4d