Morocco vs. Haiti
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Morocco at about a 56% chance — more likely than not.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
Summary
The market strongly favors Morocco with an 81% probability of winning against Haiti, implying significant market confidence in a Moroccan victory. The remaining probability is split between a draw at 14% and a Haiti win at 7%, suggesting Haiti is seen as a clear underdog. These odds reflect market perceptions but do not guarantee any specific result, as unexpected outcomes can always occur.
How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Wednesday, June 24, 2026 between Morocco and Haiti.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.