Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
🗂 Part of event: Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 100% chance — almost certain.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 100% right now.
The market has effectively resolved to Team Lynx winning, as the odds shifted to 100% Yes after the scheduled match date of July 25, indicating a decisive outcome or forfeit, but no recent headlines confirm the specific result.
📊 Base rate: In best-of-three Dota 2 matches, the higher-seeded team (implied by odds) wins roughly 60-65% of the time, but the current 100% odds far exceed any historical prior, suggesting the match is already concluded.
What's driving it
- • The odds jumped +47 percentage points in the last 24 hours, moving from ~53% to 100% Yes, which coincides with the match's scheduled start time on July 25 (no clear catalyst in headlines).
- • The absence of any headlines or updates suggests the market is reacting to the match being played and a winner determined, likely Team Lynx.
The case for YES
- • The 100% odds imply near-certainty that Team Lynx won, likely because the match was played and Team Lynx secured the victory, with no indication of a tie or cancellation.
- • If the match began but was cut short due to KW forfeiting or disqualifying, the rules still resolve to Team Lynx as the winner.
- • The movement from 53% to 100% in one day is consistent with a known outcome (e.g., match result posted) rather than a speculative bet, as no other catalyst would produce such a complete shift.
The case for NO
- • The odds may be incorrect if the market misinterpreted a delayed or canceled match, but the rules explicitly state that cancellation or delay beyond 7 days resolves to 50-50, not 100% Yes.
- • A technical glitch or illiquid trade could have pushed the price to 100% without a true outcome, though this is unlikely given the movement magnitude.
- • If the match is still pending due to a scheduling error, the 100% odds are premature, but no evidence supports this scenario.
What to watch
- • Official match result announcement from the EPL Masters or Dota 2 tournament page (likely to confirm the winner and solidify the 100% odds).
- • Any statement from KW or Team Lynx about a forfeit or walkover (would further explain the odds movement).
- • If the match is later deemed invalid or replayed, the market could shift to 50-50 (but this is highly unlikely given the current odds).
AI-generated · grounded in recent news + odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Lynx and KW in the EPL Masters Play-In Group A, initially scheduled for July 25 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Lynx" if Team Lynx win the match against KW. This market will resolve to "KW" if KW win the match against Team Lynx. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.