1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)
🗂 Part of event: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 26% chance — unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 26% right now.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for July 16 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies is winning the game by 3 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
LeBron James' Next Team
The field is highly concentrated with Cleveland at 44%, Miami at 24%, and Golden State at 15%, summing to 83%, driven by recent rumors of a potential 'done deal' with a non-Cavs team and lingering skepticism about Miami's fit. The biggest recent shift is likely the sustained lead for Cleveland, supported by Charles Barkley's endorsement as the 'only rightful destination' and insider reports of two front-runners emerging.
30 outcomes
Mohamed Salah will join PSG by September 1, 2026
The market overwhelmingly expects Salah to stay at Liverpool past the deadline, as recent headlines show the club is actively trying—and repeatedly failing—to find a replacement, not signal a sale.
Yes ≈ 7% chance
Will Ruben Amorim remain Man United's head coach for 2026/27 season?
The market is a pure 50/50 coin flip because, despite Amorim having already left Man United for AC Milan (BBC, Jun 15; Sky Sports, Jun 16), the question is about the *2026/27 season* — meaning he could theoretically still be the head coach when that season starts in August 2026 if he were to return or if the terms of his departure are ambiguous, but the headlines strongly suggest he has already moved on.
Yes ≈ 50% chance