Will a trailer for Spider-Man: Brand New Day premiere at SDCC 2026?
🗂 Part of event: Will a trailer for ___ premiere during San Diego Comic-Con 2026? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 56% chance — more likely than not.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 56% right now.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new trailer or teaser for the listed title makes its first public appearance during San Diego Comic-Con 2026, currently scheduled to be held on July 22-26, 2026 at the San Diego Convention Center. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying trailer is promotional video footage for the listed movie, show, or video game that is either officially released online during the event or screened at the SDCC venue. In-venue screenings will be verified via consensus of credible reporting. Posters, still images, and behind-the-scenes clips alone do not qualify. Re-showing footage already public before the event does not qualify. Unauthorized leaks or bootleg recordings released prior to the event will not qualify on their own, but will not disqualify an official premiere during the event. A premiere will only qualify if it takes place on one of the calendar days of San Diego Comic-Con 2026, PT. If no qualifying premiere has occurred by the end of San Diego Comic-Con 2026 or August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT, whichever passes earlier, this market will resolve to "No". This market resolves immediately upon a qualifying premiere. The primary resolution source will be official information, statements, and releases from the studio or publisher; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
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