Will Pedro Pascal appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?
🗂 Part of event: Who will appear on stage in Hall H at SD Comic-Con 2026? →Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
San Diego Comic-Con 2026 is currently scheduled for July 22-26, 2026, at the San Diego Convention Center, with programming in Hall H running July 23-25, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual appears on stage in Hall H at SDCC 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Appearing on stage is defined as being physically present on the Hall H stage. A prerecorded video message, an appearance via live video or hologram, or an appearance anywhere else at the convention (e.g. other panel rooms, the exhibit hall, offsite events, or surprise drop-ins outside Hall H) will not qualify. An appearance will only qualify if it takes place on one of the calendar days of San Diego Comic-Con 2026, PT. If no qualifying appearance has occurred by the end of San Diego Comic-Con 2026 or August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT, whichever passes earlier, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official communication channels of San Diego Comic-Con and/or the participating studios; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
Are people in the US getting dumber?
The 70% odds that Americans are getting dumber reflect a media-driven narrative linking AI tool use to cognitive decline, but the evidence is mostly anecdotal and lacks rigorous longitudinal data, making the market more a bet on cultural perception than on measurable intelligence.
Yes ≈ 70% chance
Highest box office-grossing movie in 2026 (US/Canada Domestic)
Despite The Odyssey's record-breaking $84M+ second weekend (Deadline, Jul 25), the market overwhelmingly favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 67%, suggesting a belief that franchise familiarity and pre-release hype will outweigh current box office surprises.
7 outcomes
Spider-Man: Brand New Day Tomatometer 92%+ on July 31, 2026.
The market expects Spider-Man: Brand New Day to fall short of a 92% Tomatometer score, with the 'Below 92%' option commanding 69% despite recent positive buzz from cast interviews suggesting a strong fan reception; the single biggest recent shift is a 1-point drop in the Yes (≥92%) probability over 24 hours, potentially reflecting skepticism after mixed reviews for other Marvel projects like 'The Punisher: One Last Kill' (Rotten Tomatoes, May 12).
2 outcomes
Oscar winner: Best Picture
The field is highly concentrated with The Odyssey at 56% and Dune: Part Three at 16%, but recent headlines question The Odyssey's ability to sweep, suggesting vulnerability. The biggest recent shift is a slight +1pt uptick for the leader, likely driven by continued buzz but also countered by articles highlighting potential losses in other categories.
35 outcomes
Will the documentary, "Instadocs: The prediction market games" be available on Netflix in July?
Yes ≈ 93% chance
Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
The field is moderately concentrated with the top three at 42%, but the Week 2 Power of Veto result (July 23) likely boosted the winner's odds, keeping the race open as nine candidates sit above 5%.
17 outcomes