Who will win the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 2026 Senate election?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Abdul El-Sayed at about a 81% chance — likely.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Incumbent Democratic Senator from Michigan Gary Peters, whose seat is up for re-election in 2026, has surprisingly decided not to seek reelection. Who will replace him as the Democrats' nominee? Feel free to add answers, especially since the candidate field has yet to be determined at time of market creation. Question will be resolved upon the completion of Michigan's Democratic Senate primary. I reserve the right to change the closing date to reflect the Democratic primary schedule. I may bet in this market.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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