2x2 Starmer out before 2027 / UK General Election in 2027
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Starmer Out / No General Election at about a 95% chance — almost certain.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Resolves based as per 2026-12-31 / 31st December 2026 on this market and Yes/No on this market. Update 2026-07-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The election must be held in 2027 to count. An election occurring in 2026 does not qualify.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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