Will Barron Trump be elected President in 2044?
2¢Yes
Price history builds as this market trades.
No price history yet
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 2% chance — almost no chance.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 2% right now.
StatusOpen
ClosesNov 6, 2044 · 18y
Total volumeⱮ712
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Nov 6, 2044 (18y)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
Manifold· Play
Open
Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?
Yes50¢
No50¢
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Ɱ16K Vol 10pts1y