Does Trump receive Ig Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
16¢Yes
16% 4 pts all-time
Yes
16¢
No
84¢
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 16% chance — unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 16% right now.
StatusOpen
ClosesOct 30, 2026 · 3mo
Total volumeⱮ803
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Oct 30, 2026 (3mo)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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Yes61¢
No39¢
Yes ≈ 61% chance
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