Which names will be used for hurricanes in the 2026 Hurricane Season?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Gonzalo at about a 55% chance — more likely than not.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
[image]Which 2026 tropical cyclone names will be used for hurricanes? That is, many or all of these names will be used for tropical cyclones, which of those will become hurricanes? This is specifically about the northern Atlantic hurricane season. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) will be the definitive source for determining if a tropical cyclone became a hurricane. Each listed name resolves to YES if it becomes a hurricane per the NHC; otherwise NO. If a name is not used for any tropical storm in the 2025 North Atlantic season, it resolves NO.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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