When will Trump leave office as President?
79¢2029 or later
Price history builds as this market trades.
No price history yet
2029 or later79%
20277%
20267%
20286%
20252%
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: 2029 or later at about a 79% chance — likely.
StatusOpen
ClosesJan 1, 2029 · 2y
Total volumeⱮ34.3K
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Jan 1, 2029 (2y)
Resolution criteria
Year in which Trump is replaced as US President and successor is inaugurated
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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Open
Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?
Yes50¢
No50¢
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Ɱ16K Vol 10pts1y