US President states on video that COVID likely escaped from WIV, any time through 2026
37¢Yes
Price history builds as this market trades.
No price history yet
Yes
37¢
No
63¢
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 37% chance — less likely than not.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 37% right now.
StatusOpen
ClosesJan 2, 2027 · 5mo
Total volumeⱮ92
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Jan 2, 2027 (5mo)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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Open
Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?
Yes56¢
No44¢
Yes ≈ 56% chance
Ɱ14.4K Vol 4pts1y