Who will be a UFC champion at some point?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Merab Dvalishvili at about a 100% chance — almost certain.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
This is a long term market intended for people to be able to see at a glance fighters who might have high future potential. It concerns the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) and its Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) championship titles. An answer resolves YES when that person wins a UFC title. An answer resolves NO when that person dies. An answer may also resolve NO if that person is removed from the UFC roster. If they are re-added to the UFC roster, they become eligible to be re-added as an answer to the market, but the answer corresponding to their first stint in the UFC will stay resolved NO. This question WILL include interim titles. This question does WILL NOT consider the "BMF" belt. I may N/A answers added if e.g. they are duplicates, former champions, etc.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
Mohamed Salah will join PSG by September 1, 2026
Yes ≈ 3% chance