Arkansas Senate winner? (2028)
🗂 Part of event: Arkansas Senate winner? (2028) →88¢Republican party
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💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Republican party at about a 88% chance — very likely.
StatusOpen
ClosesNov 7, 2029 · 3y
Total volume$1.2K
ListedApr 24, 2026
SourceView on Kalshi ↗
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Closes Nov 7, 2029 (3y)
Resolution criteria
In 2028
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
Manifold· Play
Open
Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?
Yes56¢
No44¢
Yes ≈ 56% chance
Ɱ14.4K Vol 4pts1y