Will Trump release new UFO files before Aug 10, 2026?
🗂 Part of event: When will Trump release more UFO files? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 56% chance — more likely than not.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 56% right now.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If the federal government has released, after Issuance and before Aug 10, 2026, previously unreleased documents, audio files, or video files regarding Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (“UAP”), then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗