Will Mariah Carey release a new song 2026?

🗂 Part of event: Who will release a new song this year? →

88¢Yes

90% 4 pts all-time

Yes

88¢

12¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 88% chance — very likely.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 88% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesJan 8, 2027 · 5mo

Total volume$425

Open interest$361

ListedJan 1, 2026

Source

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Jan 8, 2027 (5mo)

Resolution criteria

If Mariah Carey releases a new song in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗