Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
🗂 Part of event: Michigan Democratic Senate nominee? →64¢Abdul El-Sayed
65% 5 pts all-time
Abdul El-Sayed64%
Haley Stevens36%
Mallory McMorrow0%
Rashida Tlaib0%
Matt Sahr0%
Kristen McDonald Rivet0%
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Abdul El-Sayed at about a 64% chance — more likely than not.
StatusOpen
ClosesNov 3, 2026 · 3mo
Total volume$3.7M
24h volume$134K
ListedJul 22, 2026
Source
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Closes Nov 3, 2026 (3mo)
Resolution criteria
In 2026
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
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Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?
Yes68¢
No32¢
Yes ≈ 68% chance
Ɱ13.8K Vol 9pts1y