Will Thomas Massie be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

🗂 Part of event: 2028 Republican presidential nominee →

1¢Yes

1% 1 pts all-time

Yes

1¢

99¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 1% chance — almost no chance.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 1% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesNov 7, 2028 · 2y

Total volume$2.9M

24h volume$7K

Open interest$1.7M

Listed

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Nov 7, 2028 (2y)

Resolution criteria

If Thomas Massie wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗