How many people will Trump pardon in 2026?

🗂 Part of event: How many people will Trump pardon in 2026? →

64¢100 to 499

67% 1 pts all-time

100 to 49964%

500 to 99921%

1000 or more16%

50 to 9912%

25 to 498%

💡 What the odds say

Most likely: 100 to 499 at about a 64% chance — more likely than not.

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StatusOpen

ClosesJan 1, 2027 · 5mo

Total volume$9.2K

ListedApr 9, 2026

SourceView on Kalshi ↗

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Jan 1, 2027 (5mo)

Resolution criteria

Before 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗