How many government shutdowns in 2026?

🗂 Part of event: How many government shutdowns in 2026? →

59¢2

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💡 What the odds say

Most likely: 2 at about a 59% chance — more likely than not.

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StatusOpen

ClosesJan 1, 2027 · 5mo

Total volume$44.6K

ListedApr 9, 2026

SourceView on Kalshi ↗

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

Discussion

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Jan 1, 2027 (5mo)

Resolution criteria

in 2026

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗