Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?
🗂 Part of event: When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 71% chance — likely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 71% right now.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If Gavin Newsom has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
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