Will Jul 2026 be the hottest Jul ever?
🗂 Part of event: This Jul 2026 is the hottest July ever? →21¢Yes
22% 7 pts all-time
Yes
21¢
▼ 1 pts today
No
79¢
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 21% chance — unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 21% right now.
StatusOpen
ClosesAug 16, 2026 · 20d
Total volume$53.3K
24h volume$764
Open interest$22.9K
Listed
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Closes Aug 16, 2026 (20d)
Resolution criteria
If Jul 2026 is the hottest July ever, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗