Will Taylor Swift release a new album in 2026?

🗂 Part of event: Who will release a new album in 2026? →

49¢Yes

45% 9 pts all-time

Yes

49¢

51¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 49% chance — a coin toss.

✨ Ask about this market

🔭

Across venues

· updated 2hPredictPal Consensus

47%blended Yes · 2 venuesLow reliability

The same question trades on 2 venues — prices range 22%–49%. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.

The trading venues collectively suggest about a 47% chance that Taylor Swift will release a new album in 2026, though the play-money market on Manifold shows a much lower estimate (22%) than the real-money market on Kalshi (49%), likely due to differences in trader seriousness or liquidity.

Kalshishown above

$5.8K vol49%

Manifold· PlayPlay moneyCheapest Yes

Ɱ5.6K vol

🎯

Track your prediction

My predictions →

No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 49% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesJan 1, 2027 · 5mo

Total volume$5.8K

24h volume$33

Open interest$1.2K

Listed

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

Discussion

optional stance

Loading…

How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Jan 1, 2027 (5mo)

Resolution criteria

If Taylor Swift releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗