Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
6¢Yes
Price history builds as this market trades.
No price history yet
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 6% chance — very unlikely.
🔭
Across venues
· updated 34mPredictPal Consensus6%blended Yes · 2 venuesHigh reliability
The same question trades on 2 venues. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
InsightXshown above
$4.5M vol6%
Polymarket
$4.5M vol6%
Informational only · play-money venues count less in the blend. Tap a venue to compare.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 6% right now.
StatusOpen
ClosesJan 1, 2027 · 5mo
Total volume$4.5M
ListedJul 26, 2026
SourceView on InsightX ↗
Data from InsightX’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
optional stance
Loading…
How it resolves
Per market rulesSettled by the source platform
Settled by the source platform according to the rules written into this specific market.
Closes Jan 1, 2027 (5mo)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on InsightX ↗