PolymarketTechOpenUpdated 30m ago
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
5 markets · 5mo
✨ Ask about this eventMarkets in this event
Polymarket
Open
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? — 45%+
Yes66¢
No35¢
Yes ≈ 66% chance
$4.2K Vol 1pts5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? — 50%+
The market's low confidence (34%) in a Grok model hitting 50%+ on Humanity's Last Exam reflects the extreme difficulty of this benchmark, where even frontier models currently score below 10%, and no clear recent progress has been visible to shift expectations up.
Yes33¢
No68¢
Yes ≈ 33% chance
$1.1K Vol 5pts5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? — 55%+
Yes17¢
No84¢
Yes ≈ 17% chance
$978 Vol 2pts5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? — 60%+
Yes8¢
No92¢
Yes ≈ 8% chance
$274 Vol5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? — 65%+
Yes6¢
No95¢
Yes ≈ 6% chance
$60 Vol 2pts5mo
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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