PolymarketPoliticsOpenUpdated 15m ago
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
3 markets · 5mo
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Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Diplomatic pressure from the Lebanese president and US is mounting, but the market sees Hezbollah's disarmament by year-end as nearly impossible because the group's leadership has made no public commitment and its military role is deeply entrenched.
Yes9¢
No92¢
Yes ≈ 9% chance
$2.1M Vol 1ptsClosed
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