PolymarketTechOpenUpdated 11m ago
Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?
6 markets · 5mo
✨ Ask about this eventMarkets in this event
Polymarket
Open
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? — 1470+
Yes84¢
No17¢
Yes ≈ 84% chance
$21.1K Vol 8pts5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026? — 1480+
Yes72¢
No29¢
Yes ≈ 72% chance
$10.3K Vol 15pts5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026? — 1490+
Yes52¢
No48¢
Yes ≈ 52% chance
$9.5K Vol 12pts5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? — 1500+
Odds have dropped 6 points in the week despite a July 23 launch announcement and a leaked Opus 5 in Cursor, suggesting traders expect the new model to fall short of the 1500 threshold—a bar that prior Opus iterations have not reached.
Yes30¢
No71¢
Yes ≈ 30% chance
$9.5K Vol 6pts5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026? — 1510+
Yes8¢
No92¢
Yes ≈ 8% chance
$9.8K Vol 3pts5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026? — 1520+
Yes8¢
No92¢
Yes ≈ 8% chance
$10.2K Vol 5pts5mo
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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