South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
50 markets · 15d
✨ Ask about this eventMarkets in this event
Will Nancy Mace be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Joe Wilson be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Will Paul Dans be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Ralph Norman's odds surged after Nancy Mace's endorsement over Trump's pick, but he remains a heavy underdog because Lindsey Graham's sister Darline entered the race with a strong family name, creating a crowded field that likely dilutes his support.
Yes ≈ 19% chance
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 7% chance
Will Sheri Biggs be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Will André Bauer be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Alan Wilson be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Alan Wilson is the sitting attorney general and the GOP establishment's choice for governor, not Senate, so the 0% odds reflect that he is not a candidate for the Senate nomination and no credible report suggests he will switch races.
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Scott Bessent be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Trey Gowdy be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Will Person G be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person H be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person I be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person J be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person K be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person L be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person M be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person N be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person O be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person P be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person Q be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person R be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person S be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person T be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person U be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person V be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person W be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person X be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person Y be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
The market is a toss-up because Darline Graham Nordone's appointment as interim senator gives her establishment support, but a competitive filing period (WIS News 10, Jul 21) suggests the primary is far from settled, making her nomination uncertain.
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person Z be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person AA be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person AB be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
The market is perfectly split because Person AB is a placeholder name for an unknown candidate, and the real story is the chaotic scramble among South Carolina Republicans to replace Lindsey Graham after his unexpected departure, with multiple candidates already in the race and filing just opened.
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person AC be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person AD be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person AE be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person AF be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person AG be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person AH be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person AI be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person AJ be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person AK be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person AL be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person AM be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person AN be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
The market is perfectly split because there is zero public information about Person AN in the recent headlines, making the odds a reflection of complete uncertainty rather than any specific campaign development.
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Person AO be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will someone else be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? — Other
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…