Hungarian Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Yes ≈ 0% chance

Yes ≈ 1% chance

✨ A 7-point drop in the Yes probability over the past week, driven entirely by off-track stories about Perez's mental state and uncertain future (rather than any on-track performance), suggests the market views his podium chances as unlikely at 43%.

Yes ≈ 0% chance

Yes ≈ 73% chance

✨ Esteban Ocon's own admission that his car lacks pace, combined with Haas's need for a 'response' after recent struggles, has driven his podium probability to just 1%, making the sentimental milestone of his 10-year F1 anniversary irrelevant to the market.

Yes ≈ 0% chance

Yes ≈ 73% chance

Yes ≈ 47% chance

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Yes ≈ 1% chance

✨ Despite Bottas hitting a performance milestone and dismissing future rumors, the market's declining odds suggest growing skepticism that Cadillac can leapfrog established midfield teams for a podium in Hungary.

Yes ≈ 0% chance

Yes ≈ 61% chance

Yes ≈ 0% chance

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Yes ≈ 0% chance

Yes ≈ 1% chance