PolymarketWorldOpenUpdated 17m ago
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
7 markets · Closed
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Polymarket
Resolved
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
$75K VolClosed
Polymarket
Resolved
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
$1.5M VolClosed
Polymarket
Resolved
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
$3.5M VolClosed
Polymarket
Open
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Despite the emergence of a deal framework and Lebanese army deployment in the south, the July 31 withdrawal deadline appears nearly impossible to meet, as the next round of talks is scheduled for August 4 and no withdrawal announcement has been made.
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$2.1M Vol 0pts4d
Polymarket
Open
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Ongoing US-brokered talks have only reached the pilot-zone stage, and with just six weeks until the deadline, a full withdrawal announcement appears highly improbable, explaining the 3% Yes odds.
Yes3¢
No97¢
Yes ≈ 3% chance
$543K Vol 0pts1mo
Polymarket
Open
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
Yes6¢
No95¢
Yes ≈ 6% chance
$160K Vol2mo
Polymarket
Open
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Yes11¢
No89¢
Yes ≈ 11% chance
$136K Vol 0pts5mo
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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