GPT-6 released by…?

Yes ≈ 1% chance

✨ The market has already settled to No because the December 31, 2025 deadline passed over six months ago without a GPT-6 launch; OpenAI's recent releases are GPT-5.6 variants and GPT-Red, not GPT-6.

Yes ≈ 0% chance

Yes ≈ 0% chance

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Yes ≈ 21% chance

✨ The deadline for GPT-6's public release has passed with no such release, making the 0% Yes odds a factual certainty; OpenAI's latest model release was GPT-5.6 on July 9, 2026 (Axios, Jul 9), and all recent headlines focus on other models and safety tools, not GPT-6.

Yes ≈ 0% chance

Yes ≈ 89% chance

✨ Despite a 72% price, the recent release of GPT-5.6 Sol suggests OpenAI is iterating quickly but hasn't yet named a product GPT-6, making the high probability appear more speculative than data-driven.

Yes ≈ 74% chance