Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
4 markets · 5mo
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Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by April 30?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?
Despite a flurry of media reports in April 2026 claiming to have revealed Satoshi's identity, none produced the definitive proof required by this market—such as a wallet transfer or credible consensus—so the odds have settled at 0% as the deadline approaches.
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
Despite periodic media speculation and claims from figures like Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong (Forbes, Mar 26), the market sees virtually no chance that Satoshi Nakamoto's identity will be definitively proven by year's end, as no original wallet has moved and all recent 'revelations' remain unverified.
Yes ≈ 4% chance
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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