PolymarketTechOpenUpdated 9m ago
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
5 markets · 2mo
✨ Ask about this eventMarkets in this event
Polymarket
Open
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes48¢
No52¢
Yes ≈ 48% chance
$66.1K Vol 18pts2mo
Polymarket
Open
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes17¢
No84¢
Yes ≈ 17% chance
$22.8K Vol 4pts2mo
Polymarket
Open
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes11¢
No90¢
Yes ≈ 11% chance
$13.4K Vol 1pts2mo
Polymarket
Open
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
The market heavily discounts a model reaching 1540 Arena Score by September 2026, likely reflecting a belief that LLM performance gains are plateauing even as China's competitive push intensifies (Fortune, Apr 16).
Yes8¢
No92¢
Yes ≈ 8% chance
$8.3K Vol 2pts2mo
Polymarket
Open
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes7¢
No94¢
Yes ≈ 7% chance
$11.4K Vol2mo
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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