Fed rate hike by...?
5 markets · 3mo
✨ Ask about this eventMarkets in this event
Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting? — April Meeting
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting? — June Meeting
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? — July Meeting
Despite a 15-point surge in Yes probability over the past week, no relevant Fed or economic headlines appear in the provided data, leaving the move unexplained and potentially driven by unlisted factors.
Yes ≈ 20% chance
September Meeting
The market assigns a 61% probability to a Fed rate hike by September 2026, driven by global central bank tightening signals and geopolitical developments rather than any direct Fed communication.
Yes ≈ 61% chance
October Meeting
The market is pricing a 42% chance of a Fed rate hike by October 2026, but the provided headlines contain no direct economic or monetary policy data—they cover unrelated topics like FCC meetings and foreign diplomacy, leaving the odds driven by general macroeconomic sentiment rather than specific Fed signals.
Yes ≈ 69% chance
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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