PolymarketPoliticsOpenUpdated 1h ago
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
128 markets · 2y
AI overview· Updated Jul 5, 2026
The 2028 Republican presidential nomination remains wide open, with no clear frontrunner emerging yet. Current prediction markets show high uncertainty, as most potential candidates trade at low odds, reflecting the early stage of the race and the possibility of new entrants. The eventual nominee will depend on factors like primary performance, fundraising, and party dynamics.
The case for YES
- • J.D. Vance, at 60% odds, is the strongest current contender, leveraging his position as a sitting senator and close ties to the Trump base.
- • Marco Rubio, with 25% odds, has a national profile and experience from his 2016 campaign, which could give him an edge in a crowded field.
- • New candidates could emerge closer to 2028, as the race is still early and past nominees often rose from relative obscurity.
The case for NO
- • Donald Trump, despite high name recognition, trades at 99% odds against being the nominee, suggesting the market sees him as unlikely to run or win again.
- • Glenn Youngkin and Tulsi Gabbard, both at 99% odds against, lack the national infrastructure or donor base to mount a serious campaign.
- • The field is highly fragmented, with no candidate above 40% odds, making it difficult for any single person to consolidate support early.
AI-generated · grounded in recent news + odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
Markets in this event
Polymarket
Open
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes3¢
No97¢
Yes ≈ 3% chance
$9.3M Vol 0pts2y
Polymarket
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Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes43¢
No57¢
Yes ≈ 43% chance
$14.7M Vol2y
Polymarket
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Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes27¢
No73¢
Yes ≈ 27% chance
$10M Vol 1pts2y
Polymarket
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Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$13.6M Vol2y
Polymarket
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Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes3¢
No97¢
Yes ≈ 3% chance
$15.1M Vol 0pts2y
Polymarket
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Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
$10.2M Vol2y
Polymarket
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Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$20.6M Vol2y
Polymarket
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Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$17.5M Vol2y
Polymarket
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Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$44.4M Vol2y
Polymarket
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Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
$20.1M Vol2y
Polymarket
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Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$18.7M Vol2y
Polymarket
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Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$28.6M Vol2y
Polymarket
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Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
$20M Vol2y
Polymarket
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Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
$28.7M Vol2y
Polymarket
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Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
$35.9M Vol2y
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Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
$36.1M Vol 0pts2y
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Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
$43.1M Vol2y
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Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$8.1M Vol2y
Polymarket
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Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
$32.9M Vol2y
Polymarket
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Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$19.2M Vol2y
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Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes1¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$22.7M Vol2y
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Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
$18.7M Vol2y
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Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$5.9M Vol2y
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Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes1¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$9.9M Vol 0pts2y
Polymarket
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Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes1¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$8.4M Vol2y
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Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
$8.6M Vol2y
Polymarket
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Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
$318K Vol2y
Polymarket
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Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
$185K Vol 0pts2y
Polymarket
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Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
$163K Vol2y
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Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
$294K Vol 0pts2y
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Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
$206K Vol 0pts2y
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Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
$177K Vol2y
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Will Person U win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
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Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person V win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
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Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person W win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
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Yes ≈ 0% chance
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Will Person X win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
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Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person Y win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
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Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person Z win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
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Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AA win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
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Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AB win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AC win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
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Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AD win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AE win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
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Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AF win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AG win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AH win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AI win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
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Yes ≈ 0% chance
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Will Person AJ win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
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Yes ≈ 0% chance
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Will Person AK win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
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Yes ≈ 0% chance
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Will Person AL win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
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Yes ≈ 0% chance
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Will Person AM win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AN win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AO win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AP win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AQ win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AR win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AS win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AT win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AU win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AV win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AW win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AX win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AY win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person AZ win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BA win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BB win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BC win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BD win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BE win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BF win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BG win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BH win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BI win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BJ win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BK win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BL win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BM win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BN win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BO win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BP win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BQ win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BR win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BS win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BT win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BU win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BV win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BW win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BX win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BY win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person BZ win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CA win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CB win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CC win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CD win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
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Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CE win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
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Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CF win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CG win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CH win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
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Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CI win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
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Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CJ win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CK win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CL win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
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Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CM win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CN win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CO win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CP win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CQ win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CR win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CS win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CT win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CU win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CV win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CW win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CX win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CY win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will Person CZ win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
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Will another person win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Other
Yes0¢
No100¢
Yes ≈ 0% chance
0pts2y
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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