PolymarketPoliticsOpenUpdated 20m ago

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

14 markets · 3mo

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Markets in this event

Polymarket

Open

Democrats 16%+

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$2.3K Vol3mo

Polymarket

Open

Democrats 14-16%

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$1.7K Vol 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Democrats 12-14%

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$3.8K Vol3mo

Polymarket

Open

Democrats 10-12%

Yes16¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$5.4K Vol3mo

Polymarket

Open

Democrats 8-10%

Yes25¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$6.6K Vol3mo

Polymarket

Open

Democrats 6-8%

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

$11.2K Vol3mo

Polymarket

Open

Democrats 4-6%

Yes12¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$4.7K Vol3mo

Polymarket

Open

Democrats 2-4%

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$13.2K Vol3mo

Polymarket

Open

Democrats 0-2%

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$13.3K Vol 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Republicans 0-2%

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$4K Vol 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Republicans 2-4%

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$28.7K Vol3mo

Polymarket

Open

Republicans 4-6%

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$2K Vol3mo

Polymarket

Open

Republicans 6%+

Yes2¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$3.3K Vol3mo

Polymarket

Open

Will any other outcome occur in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? — Other

Yes46¢

No54¢

Yes ≈ 46% chance

3mo

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Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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