KalshiTechOpenUpdated Jun 10, 2026
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
3 markets · 5mo
✨ Ask about this eventMarkets in this event
Kalshi
Open
Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI? — Before 2027
OpenAI's rapid model releases and public AGI principles suggest progress, but the market heavily discounts a formal AGI announcement by year-end, likely because recent actions (e.g., the death of the Microsoft agreement) indicate a cautious, incremental approach rather than a definitive breakthrough.
Yes8¢
No92¢
Yes ≈ 8% chance
$237K Vol 1pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI? — Before 2028
Yes23¢
No77¢
Yes ≈ 23% chance
$206K Vol 0pts1y
Kalshi
Open
Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI? — Before 2030
Yes40¢
No60¢
Yes ≈ 40% chance
$154K Vol 0pts3y
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
optional stance
Loading…