KalshiPoliticsOpenUpdated May 22, 2026
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
18 markets · 5mo
✨ Ask about this eventMarkets in this event
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Uganda?
Yes35¢
No65¢
Yes ≈ 35% chance
$548 Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Yemen?
Yes14¢
No86¢
Yes ≈ 14% chance
$3K Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Ukraine?
Yes10¢
No90¢
Yes ≈ 10% chance
$5.9K Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?
Yes12¢
No88¢
Yes ≈ 12% chance
$7.8K Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Sudan?
Yes3¢
No97¢
Yes ≈ 3% chance
$203 Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for South Sudan?
Yes15¢
No85¢
Yes ≈ 15% chance
$528 Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Somalia?
Yes3¢
No97¢
Yes ≈ 3% chance
$7.7K Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Russia?
Yes6¢
No94¢
Yes ≈ 6% chance
$2.7K Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for North Korea?
Yes3¢
No97¢
Yes ≈ 3% chance
$266 Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Libya?
Yes5¢
No95¢
Yes ≈ 5% chance
$275 Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Lebanon?
Yes17¢
No83¢
Yes ≈ 17% chance
$7.2K Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iraq?
Yes7¢
No93¢
Yes ≈ 7% chance
$1.9K Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iran?
Yes7¢
No93¢
Yes ≈ 7% chance
$32.4K Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Haiti?
Yes7¢
No93¢
Yes ≈ 7% chance
$1.7K Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Gaza?
Yes4¢
No96¢
Yes ≈ 4% chance
$369 Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Afghanistan?
Yes6¢
No94¢
Yes ≈ 6% chance
$1.7K Vol 0pts5mo
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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