Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
25 markets · 3mo
✨ Ask about this eventMarkets in this event
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Arizona
Yes ≈ 2% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Tennessee
Yes ≈ 93% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Mississippi
Yes ≈ 3% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Alabama
Yes ≈ 88% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Illinois
Yes ≈ 3% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Wisconsin
Yes ≈ 2% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Florida
Yes ≈ 95% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Kansas
Yes ≈ 2% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Nebraska
Yes ≈ 2% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Utah
Yes ≈ 12% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Virginia
The market heavily discounts any mid-cycle redistricting before the 2026 elections, despite a flurry of Republican-led state efforts, because the resolution specifically requires Virginia to adopt new maps—and Virginia's legislative calendar and political dynamics make action before November 1 highly unlikely.
Yes ≈ 3% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Indiana
Yes ≈ 1% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Texas
Yes ≈ 96% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Missouri
Yes ≈ 95% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Washington
Yes ≈ 4% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — New Jersey
Yes ≈ 2% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Minnesota
Yes ≈ 5% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Maryland
Yes ≈ 2% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Louisiana
Yes ≈ 96% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Georgia
Yes ≈ 5% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — New York
Yes ≈ 2% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — Ohio
Yes ≈ 96% chance
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? — California
Yes ≈ 98% chance
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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