Rain in NYC in Jul 2026?
7 markets · 5d
The market is nearly certain NYC will see at least some rain this July (1-4 inches), but the sharp drop in confidence above 4 inches (95% to 60% at 5 inches) reveals that the real uncertainty is whether totals will reach unusually high levels, not whether it will rain at all.
AI-generated · grounded in recent news + odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
Markets in this event
Rain in NYC in Jul 2026? — Above 3 inches
The market is pricing a high 83% chance of >3 inches of July rain in NYC, but the recent 5-point jump lacks a local weather catalyst—the cited headlines are irrelevant to NYC precipitation, making the move potentially noise-driven or based on broader regional patterns not explicitly tied to the city.
Yes ≈ 99% chance
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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