Oscar nominees: Best Actress

Yes ≈ 25% chance

Yes ≈ 96% chance

Yes ≈ 5% chance

✨ The market sees virtually no chance Michelle Monaghan will earn her first Oscar nomination for the upcoming Netflix thriller 'The Whisper Man', as the film's late-summer release and thriller genre are historically misaligned with Best Actress campaigns, and no awards-season infrastructure is visible yet.

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Yes ≈ 43% chance

Yes ≈ 55% chance

Yes ≈ 30% chance

✨ The 18% odds reflect a market that sees no clear Oscar vehicle for Portman in the current awards season, yet the recent headlines about personal drama and political activism are irrelevant to her nomination chances and may be noise.

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Yes ≈ 20% chance

✨ The market heavily doubts Dakota Johnson will secure a Best Actress nomination for the 2027 Oscars, reflecting an absence of any award-caliber film project in recent headlines—her current media presence is dominated by fashion features and personal life gossip, not cinematic achievements.

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Yes ≈ 26% chance