KalshiEconomicsOpenUpdated Jun 10, 2026

When will the next US recession start?

6 markets · 5mo

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Markets in this event

Kalshi

Open

When will the next U.S. recession start? — Q1 2026

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$84.1K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

When will the next U.S. recession start? — Q4 2025

Yes2¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$96.8K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

When will the next U.S. recession start? — Q3 2025

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$82.5K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

When will the next U.S. recession start? — Q2 2025

Yes0¢

No100¢

Yes ≈ 0% chance

$131K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

When will the next U.S. recession start? — Q4 2024

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$45.3K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

When will the next U.S. recession start? — Q1 2025

Yes0¢

No100¢

Yes ≈ 0% chance

$75.1K Vol5mo

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