Pro Basketball: New Orleans Total Wins

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Yes ≈ 54% chance

Yes ≈ 80% chance

✨ The 20-win threshold is extremely low—historically, over 95% of NBA teams clear it—so the 77% probability signals that the market sees a real, non-trivial chance of a historically disastrous season, likely tied to Zion Williamson's health and a potential roster teardown.

Yes ≈ 91% chance

Yes ≈ 93% chance