KalshiWorldOpenUpdated May 4, 2026

Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?

6 markets · 5mo

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Markets in this event

Kalshi

Open

Will Don Bacon leave the Republican?

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$9.6K Vol 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Lisa Murkowski

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

$25.4K Vol 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

John Fetterman

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$24.9K Vol 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Thomas Massie leave the Republican?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$9.9K Vol 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Henry Cuellar leave the Democratic?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$8.8K Vol 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Yes43¢

No57¢

Yes ≈ 43% chance

$43.4K Vol 0pts5mo

View on Kalshi ↗

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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