KalshiWorldOpenUpdated 5d ago
What will Rachel Maddow say during her show?
14 markets · 16d
AI overview· Updated 4h ago
Markets heavily favor Rachel Maddow mentioning ICE, corruption, and oil/gas, while strongly discounting AI and ceasefire topics, suggesting a focus on domestic political scandals and energy costs rather than tech or foreign policy.
What's driving it
- • No clear catalyst recently; odds reflect longstanding patterns in her show's content.
- • High odds on ICE (73%) and corruption (64%) imply recent news emphasis on immigration enforcement and political scandals.
- • Low odds on ceasefire (No 82%) indicate market sees little chance of Middle East peace developments being discussed.
The bullish case
- • ICE and corruption are favorite topics tied to current political controversies.
- • Oil/gas (62%) aligns with high energy prices and economic concerns.
- • Maine (68%) may refer to a specific local event or her home state.
The bearish case
- • AI (No 73%) and ceasefire (No 82%) are unlikely as they are less central to her typical commentary.
- • Constitution (No 64%) suggests she avoids constitutional legal debates tonight.
- • Iran (Yes 64%) is a moderate probability, so not an outright avoidance but split.
What to watch
- • A major ICE raid or policy announcement in the week before the show would likely push ICE odds higher.
- • A surprise AI regulation bill could increase AI odds, but currently low.
- • A sudden ceasefire agreement would shift the ceasefire market toward Yes.
AI-generated · grounded in recent news + odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
Markets in this event
Kalshi
Open
What will Rachel Maddow say during next Rachel Maddow Show? — Maine
Yes71¢
No29¢
Yes ≈ 71% chance
$2.3K Vol 3pts16d
Kalshi
Open
What will Rachel Maddow say during next Rachel Maddow Show? — ICE
Yes73¢
No27¢
Yes ≈ 73% chance
$7.3K Vol 0pts16d
Kalshi
Open
What will Rachel Maddow say during next Rachel Maddow Show? — Healthcare
Yes23¢
No77¢
Yes ≈ 23% chance
$1.3K Vol 0pts16d
Kalshi
Open
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional
Yes36¢
No64¢
Yes ≈ 36% chance
$4.6K Vol 0pts16d
Kalshi
Open
What will Rachel Maddow say during next Rachel Maddow Show? — Ceasefire
Yes19¢
No81¢
Yes ≈ 19% chance
$2.4K Vol 1pts16d
Kalshi
Open
What will Rachel Maddow say during next Rachel Maddow Show? — Blanche
Yes26¢
No74¢
Yes ≈ 26% chance
$1.7K Vol 0pts16d
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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