KalshiTechOpenUpdated Apr 9, 2026
When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
2 markets · 5mo
✨ Ask about this eventMarkets in this event
Kalshi
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Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Jan 1, 2027? — Before 2027
Despite Apple's historical pattern of annual September iPhone releases, the market assigns only a 16% chance to an iPhone 18 launch before 2027, driven by reports of a shift toward foldable models and a spring 2027 iPhone Air, suggesting Apple may skip or delay the traditional numbered update.
Yes20¢
No80¢
Yes ≈ 20% chance
$486K Vol 4pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Oct 1, 2026? — Before October
Despite historical September launches, the market heavily doubts an iPhone 18 release before October 2026, as Apple appears to be prioritizing foldable models and a second-generation iPhone Air for 2027 over a traditional annual upgrade.
Yes12¢
No88¢
Yes ≈ 12% chance
$485K Vol 0pts2mo
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