Will Trump be impeached?
4 markets · 1mo
✨ Ask about this eventMarkets in this event
Will the President be impeached before Sep 1, 2026? — Before Sep 1, 2026
Yes ≈ 2% chance
Will the President be impeached before Mar 1, 2027? — Before Mar 1, 2027
The 20% Yes odds reflect a low but real impeachment risk driven by a single Democratic senator's call, but the lack of broader party support and the focus of recent headlines on a Philippine impeachment trial (Sara Duterte) suggest the U.S. president is not currently under serious threat.
Yes ≈ 22% chance
Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2028? — Before Jan 1, 2028
The market is pricing a 59% chance of impeachment before 2028, but the recent headlines are almost entirely about the ongoing impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte in the Philippines, not the U.S. President, making the odds appear disconnected from the actual resolution condition.
Yes ≈ 59% chance
Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027
The 3% Yes price for US President impeachment is a baseline-low probability, not a reaction to recent events, as all provided headlines concern the unrelated Philippine Vice President's impeachment trial.
Yes ≈ 4% chance
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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